Today, I view the FTSE 100
from the four-hour timeframe standpoint and its respective levels as
the short-term charts have turned choppy and somewhat less reliable.
As seen below, the overall trend is bearish below 6085 and may therefore reach the January 26 low of 5767 and the January low 20 of
5601, in the case of an extension. The break to 5767 is easy to
understand as it’s a classic breakdown signal and some traders short on
the break with a protective stop above the latest swing high (right now
5950).
Other and more aggressive bearish
traders will most likely use the current bounce in the FTSE 100 index to
short. The index has corrected 50% of the decline from last week’s high
of 6125 and this would generate a potential loss of 170 points vs. a potential gain of 313 were it to reach its January low.
Bullish traders will wait for the trend to turn neutral, though this may take a few days.
Today, watch out for U.S. Jobless
claims and Factory orders as the former is projected to print 277K
(Bloomberg news survey), while the latter is expected to decline by 2.8%
month on month.
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FTSE 100 | FXCM: UK100